Knockout Math
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What does Slovan Bratislava need to go through in the Champions League?

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Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Slovan Bratislava are 35th with 0 points. Next match: 14 October, at home against Stuttgart. In our simulations Slovan Bratislava go through (24th place or better) in 11% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 11 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Shakhtar Donetsk (matchday 6) and LASK (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 19 percentage points.

35thleague position
0point from 1 match
11%chance of going through (top 24)
<1%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 35th, average 31.

Slovan Bratislava matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Wednesday 9 September, 21:00
    AwayParis Saint-Germain1–6
    Win 2%, draw 6%, defeat 93%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
    HomeStuttgart –
    Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%
    Chance of going through:If they win28%If they draw11%If they lose6%
  3. Matchday 3Tuesday 20 October, 21:00
    AwayRoma –
    Win 10%, draw 17%, defeat 73%
    Chance of going through:If they win33%If they draw15%If they lose8%
  4. Matchday 4Tuesday 3 November, 21:00
    AwayLASK –
    Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 47%
    Chance of going through:If they win24%If they draw9%If they lose5%
  5. Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00
    HomeReal Betis –
    Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%
    Chance of going through:If they win27%If they draw10%If they lose6%
  6. Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 18:45
    HomeShakhtar Donetsk –
    Win 31%, draw 26%, defeat 43%
    Chance of going through:If they win24%If they draw8%If they lose5%
  7. Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
    AwayLille –
    Win 12%, draw 19%, defeat 69%
    Chance of going through:If they win31%If they draw13%If they lose8%
  8. Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
    HomeInter –
    Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 75%
    Chance of going through:If they win33%If they draw14%If they lose8%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Slovan Bratislava collect in the league phase.

00%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
86%
941%
1089%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16unlikely
17unlikely
18unlikely
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Slovan Bratislava finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Champions League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Paris Saint-Germain399%
  2. 2Bayern München3>99%
  3. 3Barcelona399%
  4. 4Manchester United386%
  5. 5Como378%
  6. 6Sporting CP389%
  7. 7Stuttgart388%
  8. 8Manchester City398%
  9. 9Real Betis382%
  10. 10Lens376%
  11. 11Aston Villa395%
  12. 12Borussia Dortmund395%
  13. 13Real Madrid3>99%
  14. 14Liverpool3>99%
  15. 15Arsenal3>99%
  16. 16AEK Athens342%
  17. 17Roma173%
  18. 18Shakhtar Donetsk144%
  19. 19Fenerbahçe159%
  20. 20PSV Eindhoven166%
  21. 21Villarreal063%
  22. 22Slavia Praha021%
  23. 23Club Brugge036%
  24. 24Lille047%
  25. 25Atlético de Madrid089%
  26. 26Inter095%
  27. 27LASK011%
  28. 28Napoli090%
  29. 29Galatasaray044%
  30. 30Viking010%
  31. 31Porto066%
  32. 32Leipzig057%
  33. 33Feyenoord047%
  34. 34Sabah02%
  35. 35Slovan Bratislava011%
  36. 36Bodø/Glimt041%

How the league phase works

The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Champions League teams