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Aston Villa 6–0 Fenerbahçe

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00

Aston Villa2nd, 9 pts
6–0Final score
Fenerbahçe31st, 2 pts

Aston Villa beat Fenerbahçe 6–0 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Aston Villa are 2nd with 9 points, with a 100% chance of going through (top 8: 62%). Fenerbahçe are now 31st with 2 points, with a 30% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.

59%Aston Villa win
22%Draw
18%Fenerbahçe win

The outcome the model rated most likely (59%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a <1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Aston Villa 1.8, Fenerbahçe 0.9.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).

TeamPositionThrough (top 24)Top 8
Aston Villa11th → 2nd96% → 100%36% → 62%
Fenerbahçe19th → 31st61% → 30%4% → <1%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Aston Villa

9 points from 3 matches, goal difference +9

  1. MD1WClub Brugge A3–2
  2. MD2WFenerbahçe H this match6–0
  3. MD3WViking H3–1
  4. MD4Barcelona A3 November
  5. MD5Galatasaray A24 November
  6. MD6Paris Saint-Germain H8 December
  7. MD7Borussia Dortmund H19 January
  8. MD8Slavia Praha A27 January

Fenerbahçe

2 points from 3 matches, goal difference -6

  1. MD1DRoma H1–1
  2. MD2LAston Villa A this match0–6
  3. MD3DSlavia Praha H2–2
  4. MD4Liverpool H4 November
  5. MD5Shakhtar Donetsk A25 November
  6. MD6LASK A9 December
  7. MD7Villarreal H20 January
  8. MD8Atlético de Madrid A27 January

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

The match finished 6–0 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Was Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Aston Villa a 59% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Fenerbahçe 18%. The outcome the model rated most likely (59%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a <1% chance.

How did the result change Aston Villa's chances?

Before matchday 2, Aston Villa had a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 36%). Now it is 100% (top 8: 62%).

How did the result change Fenerbahçe's chances?

Before matchday 2, Fenerbahçe had a 61% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 30% (top 8: <1%).

When was Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe played?

Wednesday 14 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 2 fixtures

Full matchday 2: what every team needs →