What does Jagiellonia need to go through in the Europa League?
← Back to the Europa League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 2, Jagiellonia are 17th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Anderlecht. In our simulations Jagiellonia go through (24th place or better) in 59% of cases and make the top 8 in 4%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Anderlecht (matchday 3) and Levski Sofia (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 41 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 23rd, average 22.2.
Jagiellonia matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 65%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 61%, draw 22%, defeat 17%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%Chance of going through:If they win80%If they draw55%If they lose40%
-
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 38%Chance of going through:If they win81%If they draw57%If they lose41%
-
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00Win 18%, draw 22%, defeat 60%Chance of going through:If they win86%If they draw64%If they lose50%
-
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 24%, draw 25%, defeat 52%Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw61%If they lose48%
-
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45Win 22%, draw 24%, defeat 54%Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw62%If they lose48%
-
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 49%Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw61%If they lose46%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Jagiellonia collect in the league phase.
Where could Jagiellonia finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Europa League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Juventus6100%
- 2Leverkusen6>99%
- 3Benfica6100%
- 4Beşiktaş698%
- 5Bournemouth6>99%
- 6Omonia682%
- 7Ferencváros697%
- 8Lyon699%
- 9Sunderland699%
- 10Olympiacos699%
- 11Sparta Praha480%
- 12Union SG496%
- 13Rennes491%
- 14GNK Dinamo476%
- 15Crystal Palace393%
- 16Milan399%
- 17Jagiellonia359%
- 18OFI Crete352%
- 19Torreense356%
- 20AZ Alkmaar386%
- 21Salzburg384%
- 22Real Sociedad172%
- 23Lillestrøm118%
- 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
- 25Levski Sofia124%
- 26Sturm Graz146%
- 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
- 28Anderlecht038%
- 29Celta054%
- 30Hoffenheim047%
- 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
- 32Marseille068%
- 33Celtic038%
- 34Ararat-Armenia06%
- 35Celje019%
- 36Lech Poznań019%
How the league phase works
The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Jagiellonia's chances of going through in the Europa League?
Across 30,000 simulations Jagiellonia go through (24th place or better) in 59% of cases and reach the top 8 in 4%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Jagiellonia need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Jagiellonia's next match?
22 October, at home against Anderlecht on matchday 3 of the Europa League.
Which match matters most for Jagiellonia?
The matchday 3 game at home against Anderlecht. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 41 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.