Beşiktaş 4–1 Marseille
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 17 September, 21:00
Beşiktaş beat Marseille 4–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Beşiktaş are 4th with 6 points, with a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 46%). Marseille are now 32nd with 0 points, with a 68% chance of going through (top 8: 4%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 33%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Beşiktaş 1.2, Marseille 1.4.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 67% → 98% | 13% → 46% |
| Marseille | 91% → 68% | 41% → 4% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Beşiktaş
- MD1WMarseille H this match4–1
- MD2WHoffenheim A3–2
- MD3Crystal Palace H22 October
- MD4Celtic A5 November
- MD5Hapoel Beer-Sheva H26 November
- MD6Leverkusen A10 December
- MD7Union SG H21 January
- MD8Omonia A28 January
Marseille
- MD1LBeşiktaş A this match1–4
- MD2LOlympiacos H0–1
- MD3Sturm Graz A22 October
- MD4Leverkusen A5 November
- MD5Levski Sofia H26 November
- MD6Celta H10 December
- MD7Celtic A21 January
- MD8Anderlecht H28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
The match finished 4–1 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Was Beşiktaş vs Marseille a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Beşiktaş a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Marseille 41%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 33%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance.
How did the result change Beşiktaş's chances?
Before matchday 1, Beşiktaş had a 67% chance of going through (top 8: 13%). Now it is 98% (top 8: 46%).
How did the result change Marseille's chances?
Before matchday 1, Marseille had a 91% chance of going through (top 8: 41%). Now it is 68% (top 8: 4%).
When was Beşiktaş vs Marseille played?
Thursday 17 September, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha (1–4)
- Omonia – Celta (1–0)
- Milan – Benfica (0–2)
- Leverkusen – Celje (2–0)
- Hapoel Beer-Sheva – GNK Dinamo (0–0)
- Olympiacos – Jagiellonia (2–1)
- Anderlecht – Lyon (1–2)
- Sturm Graz – Rennes (0–0)
- Sunderland – AZ Alkmaar (1–0)
- OFI Crete – Hoffenheim (2–0)
- Levski Sofia – Salzburg (0–1)
- Celtic – Ferencváros (1–3)
- Crystal Palace – Lech Poznań (4–0)
- Viktoria Plzeň – Union SG (0–3)
- Juventus – N.E.C. Nijmegen (5–0)
- Lillestrøm – Torreense (1–2)
- Real Sociedad – Bournemouth (1–2)