Union SG 1–1 Real Sociedad
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Union SG and Real Sociedad drew 1–1 on matchday 2. After the match, Union SG are 12th with 4 points, with a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 33%). Real Sociedad are now 22nd with 1 point, with a 72% chance of going through (top 8: 5%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%). Expected goals before the match: Union SG 1.5, Real Sociedad 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union SG | 5th → 12th | 95% → 96% | 45% → 33% |
| Real Sociedad | 22nd → 22nd | 68% → 72% | 9% → 5% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Union SG
- MD1WViktoria Plzeň A3–0
- MD2DReal Sociedad H this match1–1
- MD3Hapoel Beer-Sheva H22 October
- MD4Celta A5 November
- MD5Lech Poznań H26 November
- MD6Lyon A10 December
- MD7Beşiktaş A21 January
- MD8Celtic H28 January
Real Sociedad
- MD1LBournemouth H1–2
- MD2DUnion SG A this match1–1
- MD3Lillestrøm A22 October
- MD4Lyon H5 November
- MD5Crystal Palace A26 November
- MD6Torreense H10 December
- MD7Viktoria Plzeň H21 January
- MD8Juventus A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Union SG vs Real Sociedad?
The match finished 1–1 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Was Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Union SG a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Real Sociedad 29%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%).
How did the result change Union SG's chances?
Before matchday 2, Union SG had a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 45%). Now it is 96% (top 8: 33%).
How did the result change Real Sociedad's chances?
Before matchday 2, Real Sociedad had a 68% chance of going through (top 8: 9%). Now it is 72% (top 8: 5%).
When was Union SG vs Real Sociedad played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm (1–1)
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva (2–1)
- Salzburg – Milan (0–4)
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen (0–4)
- Celje – Omonia (0–3)
- Lyon – Crystal Palace (3–2)
- Torreense – Sunderland (1–2)
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz (3–0)
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň (2–1)
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht (1–0)
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia (3–1)
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia (1–1)
- Marseille – Olympiacos (0–1)
- Celta – Juventus (1–2)
- Benfica – Celtic (4–1)
- Rennes – OFI Crete (2–1)
- Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş (2–3)