Atlético de Madrid 2–0 Manchester United
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Atlético de Madrid beat Manchester United 2–0 at home on matchday 2. After the match, Atlético de Madrid are 16th with 4 points, with a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 24%). Manchester United are now 21st with 3 points, with a 60% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
The outcome the model rated most likely (51%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance. Expected goals before the match: Atlético de Madrid 1.6, Manchester United 1.0.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 25th → 16th | 88% → 96% | 20% → 24% |
| Manchester United | 4th → 21st | 87% → 60% | 19% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Atlético de Madrid
- MD1LLiverpool A1–2
- MD2WManchester United H this match2–0
- MD3DStuttgart A1–1
- MD4Bayern München H3 November
- MD5Viking H25 November
- MD6PSV Eindhoven A9 December
- MD7Bodø/Glimt A19 January
- MD8Fenerbahçe H27 January
Manchester United
- MD1WSabah H4–0
- MD2LAtlético de Madrid A this match0–2
- MD3LComo A1–4
- MD4Roma H3 November
- MD5Sporting CP A25 November
- MD6Leipzig H8 December
- MD7Bayern München H20 January
- MD8Villarreal A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United?
The match finished 2–0 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Was Atlético Madrid vs Man United a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Atlético de Madrid a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Manchester United 24%. The outcome the model rated most likely (51%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 9% chance.
How did the result change Atlético de Madrid's chances?
Before matchday 2, Atlético de Madrid had a 88% chance of going through (top 8: 20%). Now it is 96% (top 8: 24%).
How did the result change Manchester United's chances?
Before matchday 2, Manchester United had a 87% chance of going through (top 8: 19%). Now it is 60% (top 8: 2%).
When was Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United played?
Tuesday 13 October, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP (0–2)
- Sabah – Slavia Praha (2–0)
- Arsenal – Lille (3–0)
- Inter – Club Brugge (3–4)
- Galatasaray – Barcelona (1–4)
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven (1–0)
- Viking – Bayern München (3–3)
- Villarreal – Napoli (3–1)
- Feyenoord – Como (3–2)
- LASK – Liverpool (3–6)
- Roma – Real Madrid (3–4)
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe (6–0)
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens (3–1)
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund (1–0)
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain (2–4)
- Real Betis – Porto (3–2)
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart (0–3)