Como 4–1 Leipzig
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 10 September, 21:00
Como beat Leipzig 4–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Como are 9th with 6 points, with a 91% chance of going through (top 8: 11%). Leipzig are now 30th with 3 points, with a 64% chance of going through (top 8: 3%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (40%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance. Expected goals before the match: Como 1.4, Leipzig 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far (including later matchdays).
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 58% → 91% | 6% → 11% |
| Leipzig | 70% → 64% | 11% → 3% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Champions League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Como
- MD1WLeipzig H this match4–1
- MD2LFeyenoord A2–3
- MD3WManchester United H4–1
- MD4Lens A4 November
- MD5AEK Athens H24 November
- MD6Real Betis A9 December
- MD7Paris Saint-Germain H20 January
- MD8Barcelona A27 January
Leipzig
- MD1LComo A this match1–4
- MD2WPSV Eindhoven H1–0
- MD3LReal Madrid A1–4
- MD4Manchester City H4 November
- MD5Lens H24 November
- MD6Manchester United A8 December
- MD7Shakhtar Donetsk H20 January
- MD8Feyenoord A27 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Como vs Leipzig?
The match finished 4–1 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Was Como vs RB Leipzig a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Como a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Leipzig 34%. The outcome the model rated most likely (40%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the actual score had a 1% chance.
How did the result change Como's chances?
Before matchday 1, Como had a 58% chance of going through (top 8: 6%). Now it is 91% (top 8: 11%).
How did the result change Leipzig's chances?
Before matchday 1, Leipzig had a 70% chance of going through (top 8: 11%). Now it is 64% (top 8: 3%).
When was Como vs Leipzig played?
Thursday 10 September, 21:00 (Champions League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- AEK Athens – LASK (1–0)
- Club Brugge – Aston Villa (2–3)
- Borussia Dortmund – Villarreal (3–2)
- Porto – Manchester City (0–2)
- Lille – Real Betis (2–3)
- Real Madrid – Inter (2–1)
- Barcelona – Feyenoord (5–1)
- Stuttgart – Viking (3–1)
- Liverpool – Atlético de Madrid (2–1)
- Paris Saint-Germain – Slovan Bratislava (6–1)
- Sporting CP – Galatasaray (3–1)
- Napoli – Arsenal (0–1)
- Fenerbahçe – Roma (1–1)
- PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk (1–1)
- Bayern München – Bodø/Glimt (5–0)
- Manchester United – Sabah (4–0)
- Slavia Praha – Lens (2–3)