What does Leipzig need to go through in the Champions League?
← Back to the Champions League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 3, Leipzig are 30th with 3 points. Next match: 4 November, at home against Manchester City. In our simulations Leipzig go through (24th place or better) in 64% of cases and make the top 8 in 3%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Lens (matchday 5) and Shakhtar Donetsk (matchday 7): each result moves the chances by about 41 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 23rd, average 21.5.
Leipzig matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Thursday 10 September, 21:00Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Tuesday 13 October, 21:00Win 43%, draw 26%, defeat 31%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 3Wednesday 21 October, 21:00Win 10%, draw 17%, defeat 72%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00Win 24%, draw 25%, defeat 51%Chance of going through:If they win87%If they draw66%If they lose53%
-
Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00Win 50%, draw 25%, defeat 25%Chance of going through:If they win81%If they draw55%If they lose40%
-
Matchday 6Tuesday 8 December, 21:00Win 27%, draw 26%, defeat 47%Chance of going through:If they win87%If they draw66%If they lose50%
-
Matchday 7Wednesday 20 January, 21:00Win 57%, draw 23%, defeat 20%Chance of going through:If they win79%If they draw53%If they lose36%
-
Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00Win 36%, draw 26%, defeat 37%Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw62%If they lose46%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Leipzig collect in the league phase.
Where could Leipzig finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Champions League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain9100%
- 2Aston Villa9100%
- 3Liverpool9100%
- 4Real Madrid9100%
- 5Real Betis999%
- 6Stuttgart797%
- 7Arsenal7100%
- 8Barcelona6>99%
- 9Como691%
- 10Manchester City699%
- 11Club Brugge687%
- 12Sporting CP690%
- 13Borussia Dortmund695%
- 14Bayern München5>99%
- 15Roma477%
- 16Atlético de Madrid496%
- 17Shakhtar Donetsk462%
- 18PSV Eindhoven477%
- 19Villarreal382%
- 20Inter389%
- 21Manchester United360%
- 22Napoli389%
- 23Galatasaray355%
- 24LASK331%
- 25Sabah34%
- 26Feyenoord357%
- 27Lens338%
- 28Bodø/Glimt359%
- 29AEK Athens319%
- 30Leipzig364%
- 31Fenerbahçe230%
- 32Slavia Praha14%
- 33Viking19%
- 34Porto027%
- 35Lille014%
- 36Slovan Bratislava03%
How the league phase works
The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Leipzig's chances of going through in the Champions League?
Across 30,000 simulations Leipzig go through (24th place or better) in 64% of cases and reach the top 8 in 3%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Leipzig need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Leipzig's next match?
4 November, at home against Manchester City on matchday 4 of the Champions League.
Which match matters most for Leipzig?
The matchday 7 game at home against Shakhtar Donetsk. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 43 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Champions League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.