Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş: what's at stake in the Europa League?
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Hoffenheim29th, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Beşiktaş4th, 3 pts
50%Hoffenheim win
25%Draw
25%Beşiktaş win
The model gives Hoffenheim a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Beşiktaş 25%. Hoffenheim's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 53%. Beşiktaş's chance of going through is 85% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 79%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hoffenheim: top 8 | Hoffenheim: through | Beşiktaş: top 8 | Beşiktaş: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 71% | 25% | 85% |
| Hoffenheim win | 21% | 84% | 15% | 79% |
| Draw | 9% | 65% | 24% | 87% |
| Beşiktaş win | 4% | 53% | 46% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva
- Salzburg – Milan
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen
- Celje – Omonia
- Lyon – Crystal Palace
- Union SG – Real Sociedad
- Torreense – Sunderland
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia
- Marseille – Olympiacos
- Celta – Juventus
- Benfica – Celtic
- Rennes – OFI Crete