Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
← Europa League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Beşiktaş won 3–2 away at Hoffenheim on matchday 2. After the match, Hoffenheim are 30th with 0 points, with a 47% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Beşiktaş are now 4th with 6 points, with a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 46%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 2.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 29%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance. Expected goals before the match: Hoffenheim 1.5, Beşiktaş 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 2 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Position | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | 29th → 30th | 64% → 47% | 9% → 2% |
| Beşiktaş | 4th → 4th | 89% → 98% | 29% → 46% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Europa League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Hoffenheim
- MD1LOFI Crete A0–2
- MD2LBeşiktaş H this match2–3
- MD3Lyon H22 October
- MD4Crystal Palace A5 November
- MD5Sturm Graz H26 November
- MD6Anderlecht A10 December
- MD7Olympiacos A21 January
- MD8Ferencváros H28 January
Beşiktaş
- MD1WMarseille H4–1
- MD2WHoffenheim A this match3–2
- MD3Crystal Palace H22 October
- MD4Celtic A5 November
- MD5Hapoel Beer-Sheva H26 November
- MD6Leverkusen A10 December
- MD7Union SG H21 January
- MD8Omonia A28 January
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
The match finished 2–3 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Was Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Hoffenheim a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Beşiktaş 29%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 29%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 2% chance.
How did the result change Hoffenheim's chances?
Before matchday 2, Hoffenheim had a 64% chance of going through (top 8: 9%). Now it is 47% (top 8: 2%).
How did the result change Beşiktaş's chances?
Before matchday 2, Beşiktaş had a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 29%). Now it is 98% (top 8: 46%).
When was Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Europa League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm (1–1)
- AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva (2–1)
- Salzburg – Milan (0–4)
- Lech Poznań – Leverkusen (0–4)
- Celje – Omonia (0–3)
- Lyon – Crystal Palace (3–2)
- Union SG – Real Sociedad (1–1)
- Torreense – Sunderland (1–2)
- Bournemouth – Sturm Graz (3–0)
- Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň (2–1)
- GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht (1–0)
- Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia (3–1)
- N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia (1–1)
- Marseille – Olympiacos (0–1)
- Celta – Juventus (1–2)
- Benfica – Celtic (4–1)
- Rennes – OFI Crete (2–1)