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What does Ferencváros need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 2, Ferencváros are 7th with 6 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Torreense. In our simulations Ferencváros go through (24th place or better) in 97% of cases and make the top 8 in 34%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Torreense (matchday 3) and Celje (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 11 percentage points.

7thleague position
6points from 2 matches
97%chance of going through (top 24)
34%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 10th, average 11.7.

Ferencváros matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00
    AwayCeltic3–1
    Win 32%, draw 26%, defeat 42%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    Win 51%, draw 25%, defeat 25%
    Chance of going through:Played
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    HomeTorreense –
    Win 61%, draw 22%, defeat 17%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw95%If they lose89%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    AwayMilan –
    Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 66%
    Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw99%If they lose96%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeCelje –
    Win 62%, draw 22%, defeat 16%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw95%If they lose89%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    AwayLech Poznań –
    Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw97%If they lose93%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45
    HomeJuventus –
    Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw98%If they lose95%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwayHoffenheim –
    Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 48%
    Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw98%If they lose95%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Ferencváros collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
4unlikely
5unlikely
60%
7<1%
814%
969%
1098%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20100%
21100%
22100%
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Ferencváros finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus6100%
  2. 2Leverkusen6>99%
  3. 3Benfica6100%
  4. 4Beşiktaş698%
  5. 5Bournemouth6>99%
  6. 6Omonia682%
  7. 7Ferencváros697%
  8. 8Lyon699%
  9. 9Sunderland699%
  10. 10Olympiacos699%
  11. 11Sparta Praha480%
  12. 12Union SG496%
  13. 13Rennes491%
  14. 14GNK Dinamo476%
  15. 15Crystal Palace393%
  16. 16Milan399%
  17. 17Jagiellonia359%
  18. 18OFI Crete352%
  19. 19Torreense356%
  20. 20AZ Alkmaar386%
  21. 21Salzburg384%
  22. 22Real Sociedad172%
  23. 23Lillestrøm118%
  24. 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
  25. 25Levski Sofia124%
  26. 26Sturm Graz146%
  27. 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
  28. 28Anderlecht038%
  29. 29Celta054%
  30. 30Hoffenheim047%
  31. 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
  32. 32Marseille068%
  33. 33Celtic038%
  34. 34Ararat-Armenia06%
  35. 35Celje019%
  36. 36Lech Poznań019%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Ferencváros's chances of going through in the Europa League?

Across 30,000 simulations Ferencváros go through (24th place or better) in 97% of cases and reach the top 8 in 34%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Ferencváros need to qualify?

9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.

When is Ferencváros's next match?

22 October, at home against Torreense on matchday 3 of the Europa League.

Which match matters most for Ferencváros?

The matchday 3 game at home against Torreense. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 11 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.