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What does Ferencváros need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Ferencváros are 6th with 3 points. Next match: 15 October, at home against Viktoria Plzeň. In our simulations Ferencváros go through (24th place or better) in 83% of cases and make the top 8 in 20%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Celje (matchday 5) and Torreense (matchday 3): each result moves the chances by about 28 percentage points.

6thleague position
3point from 1 match
83%chance of going through (top 24)
20%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 12th, average 16.

Ferencváros matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00
    AwayCeltic3–1
    Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 48%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    HomeViktoria Plzeň –
    Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw80%If they lose69%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    HomeTorreense –
    Win 58%, draw 23%, defeat 19%
    Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw75%If they lose64%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    AwayMilan –
    Win 12%, draw 19%, defeat 69%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw87%If they lose79%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeCelje –
    Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%
    Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw76%If they lose64%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    AwayLech Poznań –
    Win 35%, draw 26%, defeat 38%
    Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw82%If they lose72%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45
    HomeJuventus –
    Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 56%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw86%If they lose77%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwayHoffenheim –
    Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw86%If they lose76%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Ferencváros collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
3unlikely
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
89%
954%
1095%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17100%
18100%
19100%
20100%
21100%
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Ferencváros finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus399%
  2. 2Crystal Palace394%
  3. 3Sparta Praha383%
  4. 4Beşiktaş385%
  5. 5Union SG392%
  6. 6Ferencváros383%
  7. 7Benfica399%
  8. 8Leverkusen399%
  9. 9OFI Crete349%
  10. 10Lyon394%
  11. 11Torreense360%
  12. 12Bournemouth397%
  13. 13Olympiacos391%
  14. 14Salzburg388%
  15. 15Omonia346%
  16. 16Sunderland393%
  17. 17Rennes183%
  18. 18Hapoel Beer-Sheva127%
  19. 19GNK Dinamo154%
  20. 20Sturm Graz152%
  21. 21Jagiellonia041%
  22. 22Real Sociedad071%
  23. 23Anderlecht050%
  24. 24Lillestrøm015%
  25. 25AZ Alkmaar075%
  26. 26Celta064%
  27. 27Levski Sofia021%
  28. 28Celtic052%
  29. 29Hoffenheim071%
  30. 30Milan095%
  31. 31Celje040%
  32. 32Marseille082%
  33. 33Ararat-Armenia010%
  34. 34Viktoria Plzeň049%
  35. 35Lech Poznań033%
  36. 36N.E.C. Nijmegen063%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Europa League teams