Panathinaikos vs Brighton: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
PanathinaikosLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
BrightonLeague phase not started yet
26%Panathinaikos win
25%Draw
49%Brighton win
The model gives Panathinaikos a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Brighton 49%. Panathinaikos's chance of going through is 74% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 64%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 90%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Panathinaikos: top 8 | Panathinaikos: through | Brighton: top 8 | Brighton: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 18% | 74% | 58% | 96% |
| Panathinaikos win | 38% | 91% | 35% | 90% |
| Draw | 16% | 77% | 50% | 95% |
| Brighton win | 9% | 64% | 75% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
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- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen