Knockout Math
Latviski

Nordsjælland vs KuPS Kuopio: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00

NordsjællandLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
KuPS KuopioLeague phase not started yet
55%Nordsjælland win
24%Draw
21%KuPS Kuopio win

The model gives Nordsjælland a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and KuPS Kuopio 21%. Nordsjælland's chance of going through is 72% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 48%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 35%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Nordsjælland: top 8Nordsjælland: throughKuPS Kuopio: top 8KuPS Kuopio: through
Now17%72%6%47%
Nordsjælland win25%85%2%35%
Draw9%62%5%50%
KuPS Kuopio win4%48%16%75%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

Other matchday 6 fixtures