Kauno Žalgiris vs Freiburg: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
Kauno ŽalgirisLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
FreiburgLeague phase not started yet
16%Kauno Žalgiris win
21%Draw
63%Freiburg win
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 16% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Freiburg 63%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 31%. Freiburg's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 84%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Kauno Žalgiris: top 8 | Kauno Žalgiris: through | Freiburg: top 8 | Freiburg: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 40% | 51% | 94% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 13% | 70% | 24% | 84% |
| Draw | 4% | 45% | 36% | 90% |
| Freiburg win | 2% | 31% | 63% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen