Panathinaikos vs Borac: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
PanathinaikosLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
BoracLeague phase not started yet
64%Panathinaikos win
21%Draw
15%Borac win
The model gives Panathinaikos a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Borac 15%. Panathinaikos's chance of going through is 74% now: a win would take it to 85%, a defeat to 49%. Borac's chance of going through is 35% now: a win would take it to 67%, a defeat to 26%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Panathinaikos: top 8 | Panathinaikos: through | Borac: top 8 | Borac: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 18% | 74% | 3% | 35% |
| Panathinaikos win | 25% | 85% | 1% | 26% |
| Draw | 8% | 61% | 2% | 40% |
| Borac win | 5% | 49% | 10% | 67% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps