What does Panathinaikos need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Panathinaikos will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Borac. In our simulations Panathinaikos go through (24th place or better) in 74% of cases and make the top 8 in 18%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Borac (matchday 1) and CSKA Sofia (matchday 3): each result moves the chances by about 36 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

74%chance of going through (top 24)

18%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 17th, average 17.7.

Panathinaikos matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45

HomeBorac –

Win 64%, draw 21%, defeat 15%

Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw61%If they lose49%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 16:30

AwayKairat Almaty –

Win 43%, draw 26%, defeat 31%

Chance of going through:If they win90%If they draw71%If they lose56%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

HomeCSKA Sofia –

Win 54%, draw 24%, defeat 22%

Chance of going through:If they win87%If they draw67%If they lose52%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

AwayNordsjælland –

Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%

Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw74%If they lose61%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45

AwayFreiburg –

Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%

Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw79%If they lose68%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

HomeBrighton –

Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 49%

Chance of going through:If they win91%If they draw77%If they lose64%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Panathinaikos collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

620%

782%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18100%

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Panathinaikos finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland92%
6Copenhagen91%
7Braga91%
8Getafe91%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda88%
11Ajax84%
12Gent82%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby79%
16Brann75%
17Panathinaikos74%
18Hajduk Split71%
19Nordsjælland72%
20Hearts67%
21Sint-Truidense67%
22Universitatea Craiova66%
23Lugano65%
24Pafos55%
25CSKA Sofia53%
26Riga FC53%
27Jablonec50%
28Thun48%
29KuPS Kuopio47%
30Kairat Almaty43%
31Egnatia40%
32Kauno Žalgiris40%
33Borac35%
34Iberia Tbilisi25%
35Inter Escaldes12%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.