Brighton vs Universitatea Craiova: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
BrightonLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
Universitatea CraiovaLeague phase not started yet
72%Brighton win
17%Draw
11%Universitatea Craiova win
The model gives Brighton a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Universitatea Craiova 11%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. Universitatea Craiova's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 61%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Brighton: top 8 | Brighton: through | Universitatea Craiova: top 8 | Universitatea Craiova: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 58% | 96% | 13% | 66% |
| Brighton win | 67% | 98% | 8% | 61% |
| Draw | 41% | 92% | 15% | 74% |
| Universitatea Craiova win | 27% | 86% | 38% | 90% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente