What does Brighton need to go through in the Conference League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 1, Brighton are 1st with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Jablonec. In our simulations Brighton go through (24th place or better) in 98% of cases and make the top 8 in 66%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest match is the matchday 4 game at home against Universitatea Craiova: winning or losing it moves the chances by 7 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 1st, average 7.4.
Brighton matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 80%, draw 13%, defeat 7%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45Win 62%, draw 22%, defeat 17%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw98%If they lose94%
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Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 32%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw98%If they lose97%
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Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45Win 73%, draw 17%, defeat 10%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw97%If they lose93%
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Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00Win 47%, draw 26%, defeat 28%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose96%
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Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00Win 49%, draw 25%, defeat 26%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw98%If they lose96%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Brighton collect in the league phase.
Where could Brighton finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Conference League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Brighton398%
- 2Copenhagen399%
- 3Trabzonspor393%
- 4Atalanta3>99%
- 5Sint-Truidense380%
- 6Mjällby388%
- 7Freiburg397%
- 8Lugano386%
- 9Monaco399%
- 10Panathinaikos385%
- 11Brann383%
- 12Hajduk Split391%
- 13Twente395%
- 14Gent393%
- 15Kairat Almaty141%
- 16Nordsjælland172%
- 17Getafe191%
- 18Midtjylland190%
- 19Universitatea Craiova168%
- 20Hearts163%
- 21Riga FC148%
- 22Egnatia146%
- 23Jablonec044%
- 24Crvena Zvezda078%
- 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
- 26Ajax069%
- 27Borac027%
- 28CSKA Sofia043%
- 29Thun038%
- 30Aarhus072%
- 31KuPS Kuopio031%
- 32Pafos050%
- 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
- 34Inter Escaldes06%
- 35Braga082%
- 36Kauno Žalgiris032%
How the league phase works
The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Brighton's chances of going through in the Conference League?
Across 30,000 simulations Brighton go through (24th place or better) in 98% of cases and reach the top 8 in 66%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Brighton need to qualify?
7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations.
When is Brighton's next match?
22 October, away against Jablonec on matchday 2 of the Conference League.
Which match matters most for Brighton?
The matchday 4 game at home against Universitatea Craiova. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 7 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.