Borac vs Riga FC: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
BoracLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
Riga FCLeague phase not started yet
40%Borac win
26%Draw
34%Riga FC win
The model gives Borac a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Riga FC 34%. Borac's chance of going through is 35% now: a win would take it to 55%, a defeat to 17%. Riga FC's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 75%, a defeat to 36%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Borac: top 8 | Borac: through | Riga FC: top 8 | Riga FC: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 35% | 7% | 53% |
| Borac win | 6% | 55% | 2% | 36% |
| Draw | 1% | 28% | 5% | 50% |
| Riga FC win | 1% | 17% | 15% | 75% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
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- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen