Jablonec vs Iberia Tbilisi: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
JablonecLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
Iberia TbilisiLeague phase not started yet
55%Jablonec win
24%Draw
21%Iberia Tbilisi win
The model gives Jablonec a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Iberia Tbilisi 21%. Jablonec's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 65%, a defeat to 25%. Iberia Tbilisi's chance of going through is 25% now: a win would take it to 52%, a defeat to 15%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Jablonec: top 8 | Jablonec: through | Iberia Tbilisi: top 8 | Iberia Tbilisi: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 50% | 2% | 25% |
| Jablonec win | 9% | 65% | 1% | 15% |
| Draw | 3% | 38% | 1% | 26% |
| Iberia Tbilisi win | 1% | 25% | 6% | 52% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
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