Conference League matchday 6: what every team needs
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Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase
Conference League matchday 6 is played on 17 December across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Pafos: a win would lift their chances of going through to 75%, a defeat would drop them to 34%.
Matchday 6 fixtures
Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Ajax – Getafe 47% · 26% · 28%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Atalanta – Mjällby 78% · 14% · 8%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Borac – Riga FC 40% · 26% · 34%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Braga – Egnatia 74% · 16% · 9%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor 45% · 26% · 29%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 CSKA Sofia – Thun 45% · 26% · 29%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Gent – Brann 53% · 24% · 23%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Inter Escaldes – Aarhus 19% · 23% · 58%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi 55% · 24% · 21%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg 16% · 21% · 63%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Lugano – Sint-Truidense 44% · 26% · 30%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Midtjylland – Hajduk Split 55% · 24% · 21%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps 88% · 8% · 3%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio 55% · 24% · 21%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Pafos – Hearts 43% · 26% · 31%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Panathinaikos – Brighton 26% · 25% · 49%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Twente – Kairat Almaty 61% · 22% · 17%
- Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen 31% · 26% · 43%
Who has the most at stake
The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.
| Team | Fixture | Now | If they win | If they lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | Pafos – Hearts | 55% | 75% | 34% |
| Thun | CSKA Sofia – Thun | 48% | 73% | 32% |
| Egnatia | Braga – Egnatia | 40% | 74% | 34% |
| Jablonec | Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi | 50% | 65% | 25% |
| KuPS Kuopio | Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio | 47% | 75% | 35% |
Frequently asked questions
When is Conference League matchday 6 played?
On 17 December, across 18 fixtures.
Which team has the most at stake on matchday 6?
Pafos. A win lifts their chances of going through to 75%, a defeat drops them to 34% — a swing of about 41 percentage points.
How many points are needed to qualify?
In the simulations 12 points usually secure the top 8, and 7 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.