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Conference League matchday 6: what every team needs

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Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Conference League matchday 6 is played on 17 December across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Pafos: a win would lift their chances of going through to 75%, a defeat would drop them to 34%.

Matchday 6 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Ajax – Getafe 47% · 26% · 28%
  2. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Atalanta – Mjällby 78% · 14% · 8%
  3. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Borac – Riga FC 40% · 26% · 34%
  4. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Braga – Egnatia 74% · 16% · 9%
  5. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor 45% · 26% · 29%
  6. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 CSKA Sofia – Thun 45% · 26% · 29%
  7. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Gent – Brann 53% · 24% · 23%
  8. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Inter Escaldes – Aarhus 19% · 23% · 58%
  9. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi 55% · 24% · 21%
  10. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg 16% · 21% · 63%
  11. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Lugano – Sint-Truidense 44% · 26% · 30%
  12. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Midtjylland – Hajduk Split 55% · 24% · 21%
  13. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps 88% · 8% · 3%
  14. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio 55% · 24% · 21%
  15. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Pafos – Hearts 43% · 26% · 31%
  16. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Panathinaikos – Brighton 26% · 25% · 49%
  17. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Twente – Kairat Almaty 61% · 22% · 17%
  18. Thu 17 Dec, 21:00 Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen 31% · 26% · 43%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
PafosPafos – Hearts55%75%34%
ThunCSKA Sofia – Thun48%73%32%
EgnatiaBraga – Egnatia40%74%34%
JablonecJablonec – Iberia Tbilisi50%65%25%
KuPS KuopioNordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio47%75%35%

Frequently asked questions

When is Conference League matchday 6 played?

On 17 December, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 6?

Pafos. A win lifts their chances of going through to 75%, a defeat drops them to 34% — a swing of about 41 percentage points.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 12 points usually secure the top 8, and 7 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays