Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
PanathinaikosLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
CSKA SofiaLeague phase not started yet
54%Panathinaikos win
24%Draw
22%CSKA Sofia win
The model gives Panathinaikos a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and CSKA Sofia 22%. Panathinaikos's chance of going through is 74% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 52%. CSKA Sofia's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 80%, a defeat to 41%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Panathinaikos: top 8 | Panathinaikos: through | CSKA Sofia: top 8 | CSKA Sofia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 18% | 74% | 8% | 53% |
| Panathinaikos win | 27% | 87% | 3% | 41% |
| Draw | 10% | 67% | 7% | 55% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 5% | 52% | 19% | 80% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
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