CSKA Sofia vs Thun: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
CSKA SofiaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
ThunLeague phase not started yet
45%CSKA Sofia win
26%Draw
29%Thun win
The model gives CSKA Sofia a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Thun 29%. CSKA Sofia's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 32%. Thun's chance of going through is 48% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 32%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| CSKA Sofia: top 8 | CSKA Sofia: through | Thun: top 8 | Thun: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 53% | 6% | 48% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 13% | 71% | 2% | 32% |
| Draw | 4% | 44% | 4% | 47% |
| Thun win | 2% | 32% | 15% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen