Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
BrightonLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
Kauno ŽalgirisLeague phase not started yet
79%Brighton win
14%Draw
7%Kauno Žalgiris win
The model gives Brighton a 79% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Kauno Žalgiris 7%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 84%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 35%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Brighton: top 8 | Brighton: through | Kauno Žalgiris: top 8 | Kauno Žalgiris: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 58% | 96% | 4% | 40% |
| Brighton win | 65% | 98% | 2% | 35% |
| Draw | 38% | 91% | 5% | 49% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 27% | 84% | 16% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
4–07%
3–17%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps