Brighton 4–0 Kauno Žalgiris
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Brighton beat Kauno Žalgiris 4–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Brighton are 1st with 3 points, with a 98% chance of going through (top 8: 66%). Kauno Žalgiris are now 36th with 0 points, with a 32% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (79%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 7% chance. Expected goals before the match: Brighton 2.6, Kauno Žalgiris 0.6.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 96% → 98% | 58% → 66% |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 40% → 32% | 4% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Brighton
- MD1WKauno Žalgiris H this match4–0
- MD2Jablonec A22 October
- MD3Getafe A5 November
- MD4Universitatea Craiova H26 November
- MD5Monaco H10 December
- MD6Panathinaikos A17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The match finished 4–0 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Brighton a 79% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Kauno Žalgiris 7%. The outcome the model rated most likely (79%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 7% chance.
How did the result change Brighton's chances?
Before matchday 1, Brighton had a 96% chance of going through (top 8: 58%). Now it is 98% (top 8: 66%).
How did the result change Kauno Žalgiris's chances?
Before matchday 1, Kauno Žalgiris had a 40% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 32% (top 8: 2%).
When was Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)