Lugano vs Sint-Truidense: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
LuganoLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
Sint-TruidenseLeague phase not started yet
44%Lugano win
26%Draw
30%Sint-Truidense win
The model gives Lugano a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sint-Truidense 30%. Lugano's chance of going through is 65% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 44%. Sint-Truidense's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 53%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lugano: top 8 | Lugano: through | Sint-Truidense: top 8 | Sint-Truidense: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13% | 65% | 13% | 67% |
| Lugano win | 22% | 82% | 6% | 53% |
| Draw | 8% | 60% | 11% | 68% |
| Sint-Truidense win | 4% | 44% | 28% | 87% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen