Midtjylland vs Hajduk Split: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
MidtjyllandLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
Hajduk SplitLeague phase not started yet
55%Midtjylland win
24%Draw
21%Hajduk Split win
The model gives Midtjylland a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Hajduk Split 21%. Midtjylland's chance of going through is 92% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. Hajduk Split's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 62%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Midtjylland: top 8 | Midtjylland: through | Hajduk Split: top 8 | Hajduk Split: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 47% | 92% | 17% | 71% |
| Midtjylland win | 61% | 97% | 9% | 62% |
| Draw | 35% | 90% | 17% | 76% |
| Hajduk Split win | 23% | 82% | 38% | 90% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen