Knockout Math
Latviski

Getafe vs Brighton: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00

GetafeLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
BrightonLeague phase not started yet
33%Getafe win
26%Draw
41%Brighton win

The model gives Getafe a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Brighton 41%. Getafe's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. Brighton's chance of going through is 96% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 92%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Getafe: top 8Getafe: throughBrighton: top 8Brighton: through
Now42%91%58%96%
Getafe win65%98%39%92%
Draw39%92%53%96%
Brighton win25%85%77%99%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%

Other matchday 3 fixtures