Knockout Math
Latviski

Gent vs Brann: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00

GentLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
BrannLeague phase not started yet
53%Gent win
24%Draw
23%Brann win

The model gives Gent a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Brann 23%. Gent's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 65%. Brann's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 65%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Gent: top 8Gent: throughBrann: top 8Brann: through
Now28%82%19%75%
Gent win40%92%10%65%
Draw18%76%18%78%
Brann win10%65%40%92%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

Other matchday 6 fixtures