Braga vs Egnatia: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
BragaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
EgnatiaLeague phase not started yet
74%Braga win
16%Draw
9%Egnatia win
The model gives Braga a 74% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Egnatia 9%. Braga's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 73%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 74%, a defeat to 34%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Braga: top 8 | Braga: through | Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 91% | 4% | 40% |
| Braga win | 50% | 95% | 2% | 34% |
| Draw | 25% | 83% | 5% | 51% |
| Egnatia win | 15% | 73% | 15% | 74% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
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- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen