Crvena Zvezda vs Trabzonspor: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
Crvena ZvezdaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
TrabzonsporLeague phase not started yet
45%Crvena Zvezda win
26%Draw
29%Trabzonspor win
The model gives Crvena Zvezda a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Trabzonspor 29%. Crvena Zvezda's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 76%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 69%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Crvena Zvezda: top 8 | Crvena Zvezda: through | Trabzonspor: top 8 | Trabzonspor: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 35% | 88% | 24% | 79% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | 52% | 96% | 12% | 69% |
| Draw | 26% | 86% | 22% | 81% |
| Trabzonspor win | 16% | 76% | 44% | 94% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen