Atalanta vs Mjällby: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
AtalantaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
MjällbyLeague phase not started yet
78%Atalanta win
14%Draw
8%Mjällby win
The model gives Atalanta a 78% chance of winning, a draw 14% and Mjällby 8%. Atalanta's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. Mjällby's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 75%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Atalanta: top 8 | Atalanta: through | Mjällby: top 8 | Mjällby: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 85% | 99% | 21% | 79% |
| Atalanta win | 90% | >99% | 16% | 75% |
| Draw | 71% | 99% | 27% | 86% |
| Mjällby win | 58% | 97% | 51% | 96% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
4–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen