What does Jablonec need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Jablonec will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, away against Freiburg. In our simulations Jablonec go through (24th place or better) in 50% of cases and make the top 8 in 6%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Lugano (matchday 4) and Iberia Tbilisi (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 43 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

50%chance of going through (top 24)

6%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 29th, average 23.3.

Jablonec matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

AwayFreiburg –

Win 11%, draw 17%, defeat 72%

Chance of going through:If they win82%If they draw60%If they lose43%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45

HomeBrighton –

Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%

Chance of going through:If they win79%If they draw55%If they lose40%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayRiga –

Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 40%

Chance of going through:If they win73%If they draw48%If they lose32%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeLugano –

Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%

Chance of going through:If they win73%If they draw45%If they lose30%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45

AwayTrabzonspor –

Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 57%

Chance of going through:If they win79%If they draw54%If they lose39%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

HomeIberia Tbilisi –

Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%

Chance of going through:If they win65%If they draw38%If they lose25%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Jablonec collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

616%

775%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Jablonec finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.