Iberia Tbilisi vs Mjällby: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
Iberia TbilisiLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
MjällbyLeague phase not started yet
31%Iberia Tbilisi win
26%Draw
43%Mjällby win
The model gives Iberia Tbilisi a 31% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Mjällby 43%. Iberia Tbilisi's chance of going through is 25% now: a win would take it to 47%, a defeat to 13%. Mjällby's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 62%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Iberia Tbilisi: top 8 | Iberia Tbilisi: through | Mjällby: top 8 | Mjällby: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 25% | 21% | 79% |
| Iberia Tbilisi win | 4% | 47% | 7% | 62% |
| Draw | 1% | 22% | 12% | 75% |
| Mjällby win | <1% | 13% | 35% | 92% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent