What does Iberia Tbilisi need to go through in the Conference League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 1, Iberia Tbilisi are 33rd with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Mjällby. In our simulations Iberia Tbilisi go through (24th place or better) in 16% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 2 game at home against Mjällby: winning or losing it moves the chances by 28 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 36th, average 30.1.
Iberia Tbilisi matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 16%, draw 21%, defeat 63%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%Chance of going through:If they win34%If they draw13%If they lose6%
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Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 75%Chance of going through:If they win45%If they draw20%If they lose11%
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Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 62%Chance of going through:If they win40%If they draw18%If they lose9%
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Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%Chance of going through:If they win37%If they draw15%If they lose8%
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Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00Win 20%, draw 24%, defeat 56%Chance of going through:If they win39%If they draw16%If they lose8%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Iberia Tbilisi collect in the league phase.
Where could Iberia Tbilisi finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Conference League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Brighton398%
- 2Copenhagen399%
- 3Trabzonspor393%
- 4Atalanta3>99%
- 5Sint-Truidense380%
- 6Mjällby388%
- 7Freiburg397%
- 8Lugano386%
- 9Monaco399%
- 10Panathinaikos385%
- 11Brann383%
- 12Hajduk Split391%
- 13Twente395%
- 14Gent393%
- 15Kairat Almaty141%
- 16Nordsjælland172%
- 17Getafe191%
- 18Midtjylland190%
- 19Universitatea Craiova168%
- 20Hearts163%
- 21Riga FC148%
- 22Egnatia146%
- 23Jablonec044%
- 24Crvena Zvezda078%
- 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
- 26Ajax069%
- 27Borac027%
- 28CSKA Sofia043%
- 29Thun038%
- 30Aarhus072%
- 31KuPS Kuopio031%
- 32Pafos050%
- 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
- 34Inter Escaldes06%
- 35Braga082%
- 36Kauno Žalgiris032%
How the league phase works
The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Iberia Tbilisi's chances of going through in the Conference League?
Across 30,000 simulations Iberia Tbilisi go through (24th place or better) in 16% of cases and reach the top 8 in <1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Iberia Tbilisi need to qualify?
7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.
When is Iberia Tbilisi's next match?
22 October, at home against Mjällby on matchday 2 of the Conference League.
Which match matters most for Iberia Tbilisi?
The matchday 3 game away against Copenhagen. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 34 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.