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Sint-Truidense 2–0 Iberia Tbilisi

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

Sint-Truidense5th, 3 pts
2–0Final score
Iberia Tbilisi33rd, 0 pts

Sint-Truidense beat Iberia Tbilisi 2–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Sint-Truidense are 5th with 3 points, with a 80% chance of going through (top 8: 19%). Iberia Tbilisi are now 33rd with 0 points, with a 16% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).

Before kick-off

What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.

61%Sint-Truidense win
22%Draw
17%Iberia Tbilisi win

The outcome the model rated most likely (61%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Sint-Truidense 1.9, Iberia Tbilisi 0.9.

Chances before and now

Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.

TeamThrough (top 24)Top 8
Sint-Truidense67% → 80%14% → 19%
Iberia Tbilisi26% → 16%2% → <1%

Form and fixtures

Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.

Sint-Truidense

3 points from 1 match, goal difference +2

  1. MD1WIberia Tbilisi H this match2–0
  2. MD2Midtjylland A22 October
  3. MD3Brann H5 November
  4. MD4Hajduk Split A26 November
  5. MD5Ajax H10 December
  6. MD6Lugano A17 December

Iberia Tbilisi

0 points from 1 match, goal difference -2

  1. MD1LSint-Truidense A this match0–2
  2. MD2Mjällby H22 October
  3. MD3Copenhagen A5 November
  4. MD4Getafe H26 November
  5. MD5Crvena Zvezda H10 December
  6. MD6Jablonec A17 December

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sint-Truidense vs Iberia Tbilisi?

The match finished 2–0 (Conference League, matchday 1).

Was Sint-Truidense vs Iberia Tbilisi a surprise?

Before kick-off the model gave Sint-Truidense a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Iberia Tbilisi 17%. The outcome the model rated most likely (61%). The model's most likely score was 1–0 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.

How did the result change Sint-Truidense's chances?

Before matchday 1, Sint-Truidense had a 67% chance of going through (top 8: 14%). Now it is 80% (top 8: 19%).

How did the result change Iberia Tbilisi's chances?

Before matchday 1, Iberia Tbilisi had a 26% chance of going through (top 8: 2%). Now it is 16% (top 8: <1%).

When was Sint-Truidense vs Iberia Tbilisi played?

Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).

Big matches coming up

For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.

Other matchday 1 fixtures

Full matchday 1: what every team needs →