What does Gent need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Gent will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Aarhus. In our simulations Gent go through (24th place or better) in 82% of cases and make the top 8 in 28%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Aarhus (matchday 1) and Brann (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 27 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

82%chance of going through (top 24)

28%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 6th, average 15.3.

Gent matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45

HomeAarhus –

Win 50%, draw 25%, defeat 25%

Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw77%If they lose66%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

AwayBraga –

Win 25%, draw 25%, defeat 50%

Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw84%If they lose74%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45

AwayKuPS Kuopio –

Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%

Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw79%If they lose67%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

HomeCrvena Zvezda –

Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%

Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw79%If they lose67%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

AwayThun –

Win 43%, draw 26%, defeat 31%

Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw80%If they lose68%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

HomeBrann –

Win 53%, draw 24%, defeat 23%

Chance of going through:If they win92%If they draw76%If they lose65%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Gent collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

624%

786%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18100%

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Gent finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.