KuPS Kuopio vs Gent: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
The model gives KuPS Kuopio a 26% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Gent 49%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 31% now: a win would take it to 56%, a defeat to 18%. Gent's chance of going through is 93% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 83%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | KuPS Kuopio: top 8 | KuPS Kuopio: through | Gent: top 8 | Gent: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1% | 31% | 41% | 93% |
| KuPS Kuopio win | 4% | 56% | 20% | 83% |
| Draw | 1% | 30% | 31% | 92% |
| Gent win | <1% | 18% | 57% | 99% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
KuPS Kuopio
- MD1LTrabzonspor H2–4
- MD2Borac A22 October
- MD3Gent H this match5 November
- MD4Braga A26 November
- MD5CSKA Sofia H10 December
- MD6Nordsjælland A17 December
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in KuPS Kuopio vs Gent?
The model gives KuPS Kuopio a 26% chance of winning and Gent 49%, with a draw at 25%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs Gent?
The model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. Expected goals are 1.1 for KuPS Kuopio and 1.6 for Gent, and the match has 3 or more goals in 49% of cases.
What does this match mean for KuPS Kuopio?
KuPS Kuopio's qualification chance is 31% right now. A win would make it 56%, a draw 30% and a defeat 18%.
What does this match mean for Gent?
Gent's qualification chance is 93% right now. A win would make it 99%, a draw 92% and a defeat 83%.
When is KuPS Kuopio vs Gent played?
Thursday 5 November, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 3).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia