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What does Brann need to go through in the Conference League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Brann are 11th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Kauno Žalgiris. In our simulations Brann go through (24th place or better) in 83% of cases and make the top 8 in 22%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Aarhus (matchday 4) and Kauno Žalgiris (matchday 2): each result moves the chances by about 29 percentage points.

11thleague position
3point from 1 match
83%chance of going through (top 24)
22%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 14th, average 15.9.

Brann matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    Win 73%, draw 17%, defeat 10%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    Win 42%, draw 26%, defeat 32%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw81%If they lose67%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00
    Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw84%If they lose72%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45
    HomeAarhus –
    Win 42%, draw 26%, defeat 31%
    Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw81%If they lose66%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    HomeBraga –
    Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%
    Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw84%If they lose71%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00
    AwayGent –
    Win 23%, draw 24%, defeat 53%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw86%If they lose75%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Brann collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
30%
40%
51%
617%
777%
8>99%
9100%
10100%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17unlikely
18100%
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Brann finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Conference League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Brighton398%
  2. 2Copenhagen399%
  3. 3Trabzonspor393%
  4. 4Atalanta3>99%
  5. 5Sint-Truidense380%
  6. 6Mjällby388%
  7. 7Freiburg397%
  8. 8Lugano386%
  9. 9Monaco399%
  10. 10Panathinaikos385%
  11. 11Brann383%
  12. 12Hajduk Split391%
  13. 13Twente395%
  14. 14Gent393%
  15. 15Kairat Almaty141%
  16. 16Nordsjælland172%
  17. 17Getafe191%
  18. 18Midtjylland190%
  19. 19Universitatea Craiova168%
  20. 20Hearts163%
  21. 21Riga FC148%
  22. 22Egnatia146%
  23. 23Jablonec044%
  24. 24Crvena Zvezda078%
  25. 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
  26. 26Ajax069%
  27. 27Borac027%
  28. 28CSKA Sofia043%
  29. 29Thun038%
  30. 30Aarhus072%
  31. 31KuPS Kuopio031%
  32. 32Pafos050%
  33. 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
  34. 34Inter Escaldes06%
  35. 35Braga082%
  36. 36Kauno Žalgiris032%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Brann's chances of going through in the Conference League?

Across 30,000 simulations Brann go through (24th place or better) in 83% of cases and reach the top 8 in 22%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Brann need to qualify?

7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.

When is Brann's next match?

22 October, away against Kauno Žalgiris on matchday 2 of the Conference League.

Which match matters most for Brann?

The matchday 4 game at home against Aarhus. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 29 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.