Knockout Math
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Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00

BrannLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
Lincoln Red ImpsLeague phase not started yet
72%Brann win
17%Draw
11%Lincoln Red Imps win

The model gives Brann a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Lincoln Red Imps 11%. Brann's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 45%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 33%, a defeat to 6%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Brann: top 8Brann: throughLincoln Red Imps: top 8Lincoln Red Imps: through
Now19%75%<1%11%
Brann win23%83%<1%6%
Draw8%59%<1%14%
Lincoln Red Imps win5%45%2%33%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

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