Brann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Brann beat Lincoln Red Imps 2–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Brann are 11th with 3 points, with a 83% chance of going through (top 8: 22%). Lincoln Red Imps are now 25th with 0 points, with a 7% chance of going through (top 8: <1%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (72%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 9% chance. Expected goals before the match: Brann 2.3, Lincoln Red Imps 0.7.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Brann | 75% → 83% | 19% → 22% |
| Lincoln Red Imps | 11% → 7% | <1% → <1% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Brann
- MD1WLincoln Red Imps H this match2–1
- MD2Kauno Žalgiris A22 October
- MD3Sint-Truidense A5 November
- MD4Aarhus H26 November
- MD5Braga H10 December
- MD6Gent A17 December
Lincoln Red Imps
- MD1LBrann A this match1–2
- MD2Twente H22 October
- MD3Hajduk Split H5 November
- MD4Egnatia A26 November
- MD5Midtjylland H10 December
- MD6Monaco A17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
The match finished 2–1 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Brann a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Lincoln Red Imps 11%. The outcome the model rated most likely (72%). The model's most likely score was 2–0 (13%); the actual score had a 9% chance.
How did the result change Brann's chances?
Before matchday 1, Brann had a 75% chance of going through (top 8: 19%). Now it is 83% (top 8: 22%).
How did the result change Lincoln Red Imps's chances?
Before matchday 1, Lincoln Red Imps had a 11% chance of going through (top 8: <1%). Now it is 7% (top 8: <1%).
When was Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)