Braga vs Gent: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
BragaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
GentLeague phase not started yet
50%Braga win
25%Draw
25%Gent win
The model gives Braga a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Gent 25%. Braga's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 82%. Gent's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 74%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Braga: top 8 | Braga: through | Gent: top 8 | Gent: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 91% | 28% | 82% |
| Braga win | 58% | 97% | 16% | 74% |
| Draw | 32% | 89% | 27% | 84% |
| Gent win | 21% | 82% | 50% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente