Gent vs Aarhus: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
GentLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
AarhusLeague phase not started yet
50%Gent win
25%Draw
25%Aarhus win
The model gives Gent a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Aarhus 25%. Gent's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 66%. Aarhus's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 70%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Gent: top 8 | Gent: through | Aarhus: top 8 | Aarhus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 82% | 24% | 79% |
| Gent win | 41% | 92% | 13% | 70% |
| Draw | 18% | 77% | 23% | 82% |
| Aarhus win | 11% | 66% | 45% | 94% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps