Gent 1–0 Aarhus
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Gent beat Aarhus 1–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Gent are 14th with 3 points, with a 93% chance of going through (top 8: 41%). Aarhus are now 30th with 0 points, with a 72% chance of going through (top 8: 12%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Gent 1.6, Aarhus 1.1.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Gent | 82% → 93% | 27% → 41% |
| Aarhus | 79% → 72% | 23% → 12% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Gent
- MD1WAarhus H this match1–0
- MD2Braga A22 October
- MD3KuPS Kuopio A5 November
- MD4Crvena Zvezda H26 November
- MD5Thun A10 December
- MD6Brann H17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gent vs Aarhus?
The match finished 1–0 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Gent vs Aarhus a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Gent a 50% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Aarhus 25%. The outcome the model rated most likely (50%). The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change Gent's chances?
Before matchday 1, Gent had a 82% chance of going through (top 8: 27%). Now it is 93% (top 8: 41%).
How did the result change Aarhus's chances?
Before matchday 1, Aarhus had a 79% chance of going through (top 8: 23%). Now it is 72% (top 8: 12%).
When was Gent vs Aarhus played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)