Brann vs Aarhus: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
BrannLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
AarhusLeague phase not started yet
41%Brann win
26%Draw
33%Aarhus win
The model gives Brann a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Aarhus 33%. Brann's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 57%. Aarhus's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 67%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Brann: top 8 | Brann: through | Aarhus: top 8 | Aarhus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 19% | 75% | 24% | 79% |
| Brann win | 32% | 90% | 11% | 67% |
| Draw | 13% | 72% | 20% | 80% |
| Aarhus win | 7% | 57% | 42% | 93% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente