Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 32% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Brann 42%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 32% now: a win would take it to 54%, a defeat to 16%. Brann's chance of going through is 83% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 67%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | Kauno Žalgiris: top 8 | Kauno Žalgiris: through | Brann: top 8 | Brann: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 32% | 22% | 83% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 4% | 54% | 9% | 67% |
| Draw | 1% | 29% | 14% | 81% |
| Brann win | <1% | 16% | 37% | 96% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Brann
- MD1WLincoln Red Imps H2–1
- MD2Kauno Žalgiris A this match22 October
- MD3Sint-Truidense A5 November
- MD4Aarhus H26 November
- MD5Braga H10 December
- MD6Gent A17 December
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 32% chance of winning and Brann 42%, with a draw at 26%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
The model gives both teams scoring a 52% chance. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.4 for Brann, and the match has 3 or more goals in 48% of cases.
What does this match mean for Kauno Žalgiris?
Kauno Žalgiris's qualification chance is 32% right now. A win would make it 54%, a draw 29% and a defeat 16%.
What does this match mean for Brann?
Brann's qualification chance is 83% right now. A win would make it 96%, a draw 81% and a defeat 67%.
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann played?
Thursday 22 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent