Knockout Math
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Sint-Truidense vs Brann: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00

Sint-TruidenseLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
BrannLeague phase not started yet
44%Sint-Truidense win
26%Draw
30%Brann win

The model gives Sint-Truidense a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Brann 30%. Sint-Truidense's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 47%. Brann's chance of going through is 75% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 62%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Sint-Truidense: top 8Sint-Truidense: throughBrann: top 8Brann: through
Now13%67%19%75%
Sint-Truidense win23%84%9%62%
Draw8%62%16%76%
Brann win4%47%36%92%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%

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