Egnatia vs Lincoln Red Imps: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
EgnatiaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
Lincoln Red ImpsLeague phase not started yet
55%Egnatia win
24%Draw
21%Lincoln Red Imps win
The model gives Egnatia a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Lincoln Red Imps 21%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 54%, a defeat to 17%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 28%, a defeat to 5%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | Lincoln Red Imps: top 8 | Lincoln Red Imps: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 40% | <1% | 11% |
| Egnatia win | 6% | 54% | <1% | 5% |
| Draw | 1% | 28% | <1% | 10% |
| Lincoln Red Imps win | 1% | 17% | 1% | 28% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente