Copenhagen vs Braga: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
CopenhagenLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
BragaLeague phase not started yet
41%Copenhagen win
26%Draw
33%Braga win
The model gives Copenhagen a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Braga 33%. Copenhagen's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 83%. Braga's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Copenhagen: top 8 | Copenhagen: through | Braga: top 8 | Braga: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 44% | 91% | 42% | 91% |
| Copenhagen win | 64% | 98% | 26% | 86% |
| Draw | 37% | 91% | 38% | 92% |
| Braga win | 23% | 83% | 66% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps