What does Egnatia need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Egnatia will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Midtjylland. In our simulations Egnatia go through (24th place or better) in 40% of cases and make the top 8 in 4%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 5 game at home against Kauno Žalgiris: winning or losing it moves the chances by 42 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

40%chance of going through (top 24)

4%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 32nd, average 25.3.

Egnatia matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45

HomeMidtjylland –

Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%

Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw44%If they lose28%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

AwayAarhus –

Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 64%

Chance of going through:If they win73%If they draw47%If they lose30%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayUniversitatea Craiova –

Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%

Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw45%If they lose28%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeLincoln Red Imps –

Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%

Chance of going through:If they win54%If they draw28%If they lose17%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

HomeKauno Žalgiris –

Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%

Chance of going through:If they win63%If they draw34%If they lose21%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayBraga –

Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 74%

Chance of going through:If they win74%If they draw51%If they lose34%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Egnatia collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

5<1%

614%

772%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16unlikely

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Egnatia finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.