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What does Braga need to go through in the Conference League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Braga are 35th with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Gent. In our simulations Braga go through (24th place or better) in 82% of cases and make the top 8 in 20%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 4 game at home against KuPS Kuopio: winning or losing it moves the chances by 35 percentage points.

35thleague position
0point from 1 match
82%chance of going through (top 24)
20%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 14th, average 16.2.

Braga matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00
    AwayCopenhagen0–3
    Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 46%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00
    HomeGent –
    Win 47%, draw 26%, defeat 28%
    Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw79%If they lose65%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    AwayAarhus –
    Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 34%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw82%If they lose68%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    HomeKuPS Kuopio –
    Win 66%, draw 20%, defeat 14%
    Chance of going through:If they win91%If they draw72%If they lose55%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    AwayBrann –
    Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%
    Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw81%If they lose67%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00
    HomeEgnatia –
    Win 73%, draw 17%, defeat 10%
    Chance of going through:If they win89%If they draw69%If they lose53%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Braga collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
10%
20%
30%
40%
51%
619%
780%
8>99%
9100%
10100%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14unlikely
15100%
16unlikely
17unlikely
18unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Braga finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Conference League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Brighton398%
  2. 2Copenhagen399%
  3. 3Trabzonspor393%
  4. 4Atalanta3>99%
  5. 5Sint-Truidense380%
  6. 6Mjällby388%
  7. 7Freiburg397%
  8. 8Lugano386%
  9. 9Monaco399%
  10. 10Panathinaikos385%
  11. 11Brann383%
  12. 12Hajduk Split391%
  13. 13Twente395%
  14. 14Gent393%
  15. 15Kairat Almaty141%
  16. 16Nordsjælland172%
  17. 17Getafe191%
  18. 18Midtjylland190%
  19. 19Universitatea Craiova168%
  20. 20Hearts163%
  21. 21Riga FC148%
  22. 22Egnatia146%
  23. 23Jablonec044%
  24. 24Crvena Zvezda078%
  25. 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
  26. 26Ajax069%
  27. 27Borac027%
  28. 28CSKA Sofia043%
  29. 29Thun038%
  30. 30Aarhus072%
  31. 31KuPS Kuopio031%
  32. 32Pafos050%
  33. 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
  34. 34Inter Escaldes06%
  35. 35Braga082%
  36. 36Kauno Žalgiris032%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Braga's chances of going through in the Conference League?

Across 30,000 simulations Braga go through (24th place or better) in 82% of cases and reach the top 8 in 20%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Braga need to qualify?

7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.

When is Braga's next match?

22 October, at home against Gent on matchday 2 of the Conference League.

Which match matters most for Braga?

The matchday 6 game at home against Egnatia. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 36 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.