Egnatia 1–1 Midtjylland
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Egnatia and Midtjylland drew 1–1 on matchday 1. After the match, Egnatia are 22nd with 1 point, with a 46% chance of going through (top 8: 3%). Midtjylland are now 18th with 1 point, with a 90% chance of going through (top 8: 32%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
An upset: the model gave this result only 23%. The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance. Expected goals before the match: Egnatia 0.9, Midtjylland 1.8.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Egnatia | 40% → 46% | 4% → 3% |
| Midtjylland | 92% → 90% | 47% → 32% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Egnatia
- MD1DMidtjylland H this match1–1
- MD2Aarhus A22 October
- MD3Universitatea Craiova A5 November
- MD4Lincoln Red Imps H26 November
- MD5Kauno Žalgiris H10 December
- MD6Braga A17 December
Midtjylland
- MD1DEgnatia A this match1–1
- MD2Sint-Truidense H22 October
- MD3Ajax H5 November
- MD4Pafos A26 November
- MD5Lincoln Red Imps A10 December
- MD6Hajduk Split H17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Egnatia vs Midtjylland?
The match finished 1–1 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Egnatia vs Midtjylland a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Egnatia a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Midtjylland 58%. An upset: the model gave this result only 23%. The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 11% chance.
How did the result change Egnatia's chances?
Before matchday 1, Egnatia had a 40% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 46% (top 8: 3%).
How did the result change Midtjylland's chances?
Before matchday 1, Midtjylland had a 92% chance of going through (top 8: 47%). Now it is 90% (top 8: 32%).
When was Egnatia vs Midtjylland played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)