What does Sint-Truidense need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Sint-Truidense will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Iberia Tbilisi. In our simulations Sint-Truidense go through (24th place or better) in 67% of cases and make the top 8 in 13%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Brann (matchday 3) and Iberia Tbilisi (matchday 1): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

67%chance of going through (top 24)

13%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 22nd, average 19.5.

Sint-Truidense matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

HomeIberia Tbilisi –

Win 61%, draw 22%, defeat 17%

Chance of going through:If they win79%If they draw55%If they lose40%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

AwayMidtjylland –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win89%If they draw71%If they lose57%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

HomeBrann –

Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%

Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw62%If they lose47%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

AwayHajduk Split –

Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%

Chance of going through:If they win88%If they draw67%If they lose53%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

HomeAjax –

Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 46%

Chance of going through:If they win87%If they draw68%If they lose54%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayLugano –

Win 30%, draw 26%, defeat 44%

Chance of going through:If they win87%If they draw68%If they lose53%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Sint-Truidense collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

619%

781%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18100%

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Sint-Truidense finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland92%
6Copenhagen91%
7Braga91%
8Getafe91%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda88%
11Ajax84%
12Gent82%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby79%
16Brann75%
17Panathinaikos74%
18Hajduk Split71%
19Nordsjælland72%
20Hearts67%
21Sint-Truidense67%
22Universitatea Craiova66%
23Lugano65%
24Pafos55%
25CSKA Sofia53%
26Riga FC53%
27Jablonec50%
28Thun48%
29KuPS Kuopio47%
30Kairat Almaty43%
31Egnatia40%
32Kauno Žalgiris40%
33Borac35%
34Iberia Tbilisi25%
35Inter Escaldes12%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.