Sint-Truidense vs Ajax: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 21:00
Sint-TruidenseLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
AjaxLeague phase not started yet
28%Sint-Truidense win
26%Draw
46%Ajax win
The model gives Sint-Truidense a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Ajax 46%. Sint-Truidense's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 54%. Ajax's chance of going through is 84% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 70%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sint-Truidense: top 8 | Sint-Truidense: through | Ajax: top 8 | Ajax: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13% | 67% | 30% | 84% |
| Sint-Truidense win | 29% | 87% | 13% | 70% |
| Draw | 11% | 68% | 23% | 82% |
| Ajax win | 6% | 54% | 45% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos